A fable about a problem, and about thinking. A bird, a jug, and not enough water.

Aesop’s Fables · Part 1 · Modal verbs: possibility and prediction
Might, may, could, will, won’t and could never: the grammar of what is possible, what is likely and what is certain, puzzled out by a thirsty crow, tested by Marcos, and precisely footnoted by Philo.

A fable about a problem, and about thinking. A bird, a jug, and not enough water.

I like fables where the hero wins by thinking.
After Aesop
It had not rained for weeks, and a Crow was dying of thirst. At last she found a pitcher standing in a garden, with a little water at the bottom.
She put her beak into the neck of the pitcher, but it wasn’t long enough. The water was too far down. She tried to push the pitcher over, but it was too heavy.
The Crow sat on the garden wall and thought. “What might work?” she said to herself. “I could break it, but the water would soak into the ground. I could fly off and look for a river, but I might die before I find one.”
Then she saw the pebbles in the garden path. She picked up one pebble and dropped it into the pitcher. Then another, and another, and another.
Slowly, pebble by pebble, the water rose, until at last it reached the top, and the Crow could drink.
Little by little does the trick. Where force fails, patience and thought may succeed.
Might, may, could: possible, not certain

I would just smash the jug. That might work.

It might. Might, may and could all say that something is possible, but not certain. Smashing it might work. It may work. It could work. In most sentences, they are almost the same.
Might not: perhaps not

But it might not work! The water would go into the ground.

Careful now. Might not and may not mean perhaps not. But couldn’t means impossible: It might not work (perhaps it won’t). It couldn’t work (there’s no way it will).
Will and won’t: certain predictions

The Crow could see that one thing was certain: if she did nothing, she would die. If she dropped enough pebbles, the water will rise.

A small correction, Philo: “the water will rise” is a present prediction; in a past story we say would. Will / won’t are for predictions we are sure of: The water will rise. The pitcher won’t fall over; it’s too heavy.
May well, might well: probably

It may well rain tomorrow. I heard thunder over the sea.

Good. May well / might well / could well mean probably: more likely than plain may. After a week of pebbles, crows may well be the cleverest birds in Alexandria.
Can: general possibility

A footnote. Can is used for things that are possible in general, sometimes: Crows can be very clever. Summers can be very dry in Egypt. But for one particular possibility, we say could or might: It could rain today, not it can rain today.
Sophia’s summary
| Form | Use | From the fable |
|---|---|---|
| might / may / could + verb | possible, not certain | Smashing it might work. |
| might not / may not | perhaps not | It might not work. |
| couldn’t / can’t | impossible | Her beak couldn’t reach the water. |
| will / won’t | certain predictions | The water will rise. |
| may well / might well | probably | It may well rain tomorrow. |
| can | general possibility (sometimes true) | Crows can be very clever. |
Answer all the questions, then press “Check my answers”. You can try again as many times as you like.
Choose the form that fits best.
1. Take an umbrella. It ___ rain later. (possible)
2. Summers in Egypt ___ be very hot. (in general)
3. If you drop more pebbles, the water ___ rise. (certain)
4. The pitcher is made of stone. It ___ break easily. (impossible)
5. Look at those clouds. It ___ well rain. (probable)
6. I’m not sure the plan will work. It ___ work.
Write the missing modal.
7. Try this idea. It work, but I’m not sure.
8. The Crow’s beak reach the water: it was too far down. (impossible, past)
9. Don’t worry. The water rise if you keep dropping pebbles. (certain)
10. Crows be very clever animals. (in general)
Is the sentence correct English?
11. “Take a coat. It can rain this afternoon.”
12. “This plan may well be the answer.”
13. “The pitcher might to fall over.”